Access to the relevant raw materials is a concern for companies, policymakers and society as a whole. But progress is being made in many areas. The spectrum ranges from increased recycling of raw materials and research into possible substitutes with similar properties (see article on page 27) to the exploitation of new raw material deposits. “The aim is to minimize the European Union’s dependency as far as possible,” says Tim Brückmann, Coordinator for Environment and Sustainability at DKE.
The current situation is serious. The outlook: ominous. The EU currently has a list of 34 “critical raw materials,” from arsenic, with its highly conductive properties, to tungsten, which is valued in aviation and telecommunications technology for its high density. Half of these materials are defined as “strategically relevant” – in other words, they are particularly important for developing green and digital technology or for ensuring stability in the defense and aerospace sectors. The electronics and electrical engineering industry, the primary consumer for many raw materials and a key supplier to many of these sunrise industries, is at the heart of this issue and is working on finding solutions.
These are needed more than ever. Commodity price fluctuations are nothing new, but companies in the past have always found ways to adjust. That era is now over. Firstly, the global appetite for raw materials is increasing as technology and digitalization advance ever faster. Energy storage devices, solar technology, hydrogen electrolysis and AI chips, for example, are completely dependent on certain materials that are only available in comparatively small quantities. For example, the International Energy Agency (IEA) recorded a 30% increase in demand for lithium between 2022 and 2023 alone. Demand for nickel, cobalt, graphite and rare earths rose by between eight and 15 percent.
Secondly, many industrialized countries are now taking a much more critical view of the ecological and social realities surrounding the extraction of raw materials. In South America, for example, lithium is often extracted by pumping groundwater containing minerals into huge reservoirs, where it evaporates. In these already dry regions, the vegetation around these mining projects withers. In villages close to mining areas in China, there are reports of disproportionately high numbers of cancer sufferers. And in the cobalt mines in the Democratic Republic of the Congo, children are said to be repeatedly risking their lives.
Thirdly, competition for these resources has become tougher. More countries either want to use the raw materials themselves, or have much stricter controls on who can use what is mined within their borders. Russia, a leader in nickel, titanium and palladium, has been waging a war of aggression against Ukraine for the last three years. Almost two years ago, China placed strict export controls on gallium and germanium, hugely important metals for semiconductor production. “It’s about economic policy and geopolitical instrumentalization,” says Simon Glöser-Chahoud, Professor of Corporate Sustainability and Environmental Management at the Technical University (TU) Freiberg. Prosperity is at stake; a study by management consultants Roland Berger together with the Federation of German Industries (BDI) has calculated that the German economy could lose up to 115 billion euros in added value if China were to cease supplying lithium.